Market Intelligence

Evidence before opinion. Signal before noise.

We produce independent, fundamentally-grounded intelligence on the global coffee complex — the forecasts, research and decision support that organizations rely on when the stakes are real.

Capabilities

Price & Balance Forecasting

Fundamentally-anchored forecasts across Arabica and Robusta, integrating supply, demand, stocks and flow.

Positioning & Flow Analysis

Interpretation of managed money, commercial hedging and physical basis as leading indicators.

Structural Research

Deep-dive studies on origin economics, differentials, certification and the shifting demand landscape.

Structured Reports

Weekly, monthly and quarterly briefings written for decision makers, not spectators.

Risk Dashboards

Bespoke exposure and scenario dashboards that quantify where the real risk sits.

Bespoke Research

Commissioned research on the questions specific to your book, geography or mandate.

Forecasting Methodology

A transparent path from data to decision.

Step I

Data & Fundamentals

We assemble a proprietary balance from origin production, exports, stocks, weather and demand signals.

Step II

Signal Extraction

We isolate the drivers that matter this cycle and discard the noise that distracts most participants.

Step III

Scenario Construction

We build probability-weighted scenarios rather than single-point predictions, sizing conviction honestly.

Step IV

Decision Support

We translate the view into implications your desk or board can act upon with clear risk parameters.

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Origins modelled in the balance

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Data series monitored weekly

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Turnaround on urgent briefings

See the market the way we do.

Request a sample briefing and a conversation about the questions specific to your organization.